“Iran has been preparing for this war for 20 years – the US is not ready to fight a 21st century war”
“According to my analysis, as this war progresses, I believe that Iran has many strategic advantages over the US. The fact is that at this point it has degenerated into a long, drawn-out war between the US and Iran. The Iranians have been preparing for this conflict for 20 years – in the context of their religious thinking and eschatology. For them, it is a war against the “Great Devil.”
They have been practicing a lot. Last June, the 12-day war in which the Iranians tested and challenged the offensive capabilities of both Israel and the United States. They also had eight months of thorough preparation.
Iran, through its allied groups - the Houthis, Hezbollah, Hamas and Shiite militias - has understood the American mentality well and now has a strategy to weaken American power and ultimately end the American empire.
Iran is actually waging a war not just against the United States, but against the entire global economy. It is targeting the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. It is attacking American bases, as well as their energy infrastructure. It could go further and target desalination plants, which are the lifeblood of these countries because they have no natural drinking water.
The fact is that 60 percent of the Gulf countries' water supply comes from these power plants. If a $50,000 drone were to destroy a major power plant in a city like Riyadh, which has a population of 10 million, it could be deprived of water within two weeks.
Similarly, Iran has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, while the Gulf countries receive 90 percent of their food through this route. Today, Iran has become an existential threat to Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Qatar.
This is important because the Gulf states are the backbone of the US economy. They sell petrodollars and then reinvest these dollars in the US stock market. The US economy is currently built on investments in artificial intelligence (AI) data centers, many of which are Gulf capital.
If the Gulf states cannot sell oil or invest in AI, this AI bubble will burst, and with it the US economy, which they call a financial "Ponzi scheme".
My first point is that the US military was not designed to fight a 21st century war. The US military-industrial complex was built to fight the Cold War after World War II - where technology and the display of power were essential.
The US defense system is based on extremely expensive and complex technology. That is why there is an imbalance in this war - multi-million dollar missiles trying to shoot down $50,000 drones, which is not sustainable in the long run.
This is the beginning of the end of the perception of American invincibility that was the basis of American hegemony after the Cold War. It marks the end not only of the global economy, but also of the petrodollar and the American reserve currency system. The world is moving towards a multipolar world.
If the US sends ground forces to Iran, it could be catastrophic for Iran. But airstrikes alone have never brought about regime change in a country - ground forces are necessary.
In the coming months, pressure on the United States to send ground troops will increase, especially from the Gulf states and Israel. If the Gulf states fall, the petrodollar will disappear.
These countries will have two options: Either they stop the war by paying Iran billions of dollars, or the United States will send ground troops to eliminate the Iranian threat.
The American public is against ground war - and 78 percent opposed the initial attacks.
It has always been my position that both Saudi Arabia and Israel want regime change in Iran. Iran is a greater existential threat to Saudi Arabia because the Saudi economy is completely dependent on oil, while Iran is a theocracy opposed to the Saudi monarchy.
Iran supports the Houthis, which has been a problem for Saudi Arabia. The Saudi economy is currently under pressure, they are trying to transform the economy through projects like tourism, e-sports and NEOM, but they are not succeeding.
So Saudi Arabia wants to control the oil in the entire Middle East. I think the report that Saudi Arabia pressured Iran to attack could be true because it allows Israel and the US to use its airspace.
The important question is why is all this happening? I think there are three possible reasons:
First: Arrogance. Empires have acted this way throughout history. Quick victories have created excessive self-confidence.
Second: Domestic political gain. Even if the US does not benefit from this war, Trump could personally benefit from it. Saudi Arabia has invested $2 billion in Jared Kushner’s fund. Israeli figures have helped Trump financially. If the war escalates and emergency powers are granted, he could reap political benefits.
Third: The Doctrine of the End and the Secret Powers. The Epstein Files reveal that the world is ruled by secret groups. Some call them the Illuminati - including the Jesuits, the Frankish Sabbats and the Freemasons. For them, the war in the Middle East is part of a plan for the end of time."
(Professor Jiang Xueqin - Chinese-Canadian academic, author and geopolitical analyst; founder and host of the YouTube channel Predictive History. Holds a BA in English Literature from Yale College.)
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